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« Nanofacturing Economics | Main | Making Of "Cellular Visions" »

July 30, 2007


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John B

Mike -

IMO, it'll come down to resources. *wry grin* Of course, part of the problem will be IDENTIFYING the critical resources in the newly adapted economies.

I WOULD like a little further clarification on #2, Timing, with a focus on what happens if nanofacture doesn't happen in the expected timeline - IE, too early, OR too late. Both IMO have interesting (read 'thorny') problems...


Mike Treder, CRN

John, those are interesting questions that Chris and I and others involved with CRN have been discussing a lot recently.

We think that nanofactories *should* be developed as fast as it can be done safely and responsibly. The potential benefits -- in medicine, energy, climate change amelioration, etc. -- are just too important to delay.

But will that take place? Or will other factors blunt the development of molecular manufacturing until its impacts are comparatively slight? Still too early to tell...

John B

I'm glad to hear you folks are looking at the issues that early and late predictions of nanofacture would have, Mike. I think both cases have potential dangers, on and above the dangers inherent in nanofacture itself.

I agree that there needs to be some nanofacture research & development at speed. However, the problems that nanofacture brings up (either immediately on general release or in other, restricted scenarios) seem to me to become massively disruptive in almost no time at all.

Should it not be developed? Not in my opinion - relinquishing the possibility of such a technology is along the lines of ostriches & sand. It's going to be a balancing point between the various risks and secondary effects, in a typically overdetermined (ie, chaotic) environment.

Note that this is all incumbent on nanofacture as per the CRN concept thereof is not disproven - not something I expect, but I'm cautious enough to explicitly state the caveat.

Will this postulated rapid nanotech research & development take place? I'd say it already HAS happened at least in part, and the question should rather be how much MORE will happen. This includes what roadblocks - technological, political, social, and/or economic (most likely some combinations thereof) - will slow or redirect or stop it, as well as how it gets distributed within the world.

I dunno. Is it all going to be just the CRNano nanofacture way? Maybe. Maybe not. The obvious (and IMO important) follow on question is - what happens if other concepts for nanoscale manipulation of matter come to pass?



First I want to thank You for this interesting article.

And I have got a question, what can You tell about “bionic hornet”?

G. Y. Fortune, Ed. D.

As an Interdisciplinary Social Scientist-Historian, I would have liked to hear your presentaion and discussion. The blog cannot give attention to the psycho-social aspects of the coming/current nano-technology. These are the most imporant in human and environmental terms.

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