This grave warning from a Cornell ecologist shows once again the increasing urgency for the development of effective solutions to combat growing problems. Nanotechnology can be of significant benefit, but only if it is managed wisely.
If today's global statistics of more than 3 billion malnourished people are worrisome, try projecting 50 years into the future, when Earth's population could exceed 12 billion and there could be even less water and land, per capita, to grow food.The current level of malnutrition among nearly half the world's population of 6.3 billion is unprecedented in human history, says agricultural ecologist David Pimentel of Cornell University, Ithaca, N.Y. "Every trend -- from decreasing per-capita availability of food and cropland to population growth -- shows the predicament becoming even more dire," Pimentel says.
"In the next 50 years, the degree of malnutrition, resultant disease and human misery is unimaginable. But we have to try to consider the future while there is still time to make meaningful changes, to reverse these trends and ensure a sustainable food supply."
I believe that anyone who thinks the current level of malnutrition is unprecidented is frighteningly ignorant of history. Futher, all the evidence I've seen says that most malnutrition today is a result of deliberate political decisions, not a straight forward incapacity to feed people. (Genocide goes down easier when you label it a "famine".)
Finally, 12 billion in fifty years is a very high end prediction. Current estimates are more in the neighborhood of 9 billion.
Posted by: Brett Bellmore | February 18, 2004 at 09:41 AM
What he said about politics. Enough food is produced in the world right now to feed everyone to death through overconsumption. Politically created and maintained poverty is the real problem:
http://www.reason.com/rb/rb091802.shtml
Reason
Founder, Longevity Meme
Posted by: Reason | February 18, 2004 at 01:51 PM
It's almost cliche to state that much of the famine and poverty in the developing world often has political causes. One only has to think of all the pointless war in Africa and South America to see that. Even still, I'm all in favor of any technology that reduces our ecological footprint while raising our standard of living.
A baby in the post-industrial world consumes 20 to 30 times the amount of resources as a baby in the developing world. It's hard to imagine children in the developing world ever reaching a standard of living comparable to post-industrial children if we don't invent ways to use resources more efficiently.
High standards of living also moderate domestic politics. If someone has a lot to live for and a lot to loose, they are less likely to go at each other with bayonets.
Posted by: Mr. Farlops | February 19, 2004 at 10:44 AM