From the start, CRN's message has been pretty simple:
- Nanotechnology will lead to a manufacturing breakthrough (molecular manufacturing, or MM).
- MM will be revolutionary, disruptive, probably destructive in several ways.
- Therefore, wise policy needs to be made in advance.
Molecular manufacturing is potentially very powerful - I remain convinced that we were right about that.
I still think MM has strong potential to be revolutionary, disruptive, and even destructive. (As well as providing many potential benefits.)
But I'm becoming less and less sure that this should, or even can, be dealt with by making wise policy in advance. It's too hard to predict what will happen. It's hard enough to predict what shape the technology will take - and much harder to predict how that will interact with politics.
If one-third of CRN's message were to disappear, what would CRN's proper role be, going forward?