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« Enhancement and the Brain | Main | Nanotechnology Disproved!!! »

March 31, 2006

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Mike Deering

Molecular manufacturing, productive nanosystems, nanomanufacturing, nanoscale fabrication systems: all of these terms focus on using molecular scale automated machines to make products. Making products is one use for molecular scale automated machines. Why have you singled out this one use for molecular scale automated machines while ignoring others? Here is a partial list of other things molecular scale automated machines could be used for:

* repairing or changing the body at the molecular scale.
* collecting and storing energy.
* reforming on command, your whole house and everything in it could be made of intelligent utility fog, maybe even your aircar too.
* breaking down unwanted objects, recycling, chemical and physical processing.
* cleaning, pest control, germ fighting, environmental repair.
* processing incredibly huge amounts of information. Everything, regardless of size, can be intelligent.
* diamondoid life-forms.

Don't these other uses of molecular scale automated machines besides just making products need to be planned for as much as molecular manufacturing? When you get fully mature nanotechnology you get a whole set of new capabilities that you never had before, one of them is exponential manufacturing, but there are others.

Mike Treder, CRN

Mike, every one of those "other uses" that you describe relies on products built by nanofactories. It is nano-built products that will enter the human body, that will collect and store energy, and so on.

The radical impacts of molecular manufacturing that CRN warns about result from the drastically advanced products that MM will enable. As you suggest, it is not only the nanofactories that will be so disruptive, it also will be the previously unthinkable tasks that their products might perform.

Michael Anissimov

Sophisticated nanotechnology applications like nanomedicine and utility fog won't likely arrive with the first wave of products, either. There is incredibly complex programming to be done, to ensure that the nanobots don't consume you from the inside or the utility fog doesn't suddenly collapse in skyscraper mode.

Mike Deering

The first generation of MM products can be designed with current types of design software. These first products chief advantage will be their extreme precision though in functional complexity will be similar to present day products.

The first generation of AGI will be implemented on current or near current computer hardware.

Later generations of MM products will increase in complexity requiring super-human levels of intelligence for generation of their design and also incorporated into the products themselves.

Later generations of super-human AGI's will require computer hardware only producible by MM.

In this way the advancement of MM and SAGI are linked. I believe this linkage to be synergistic to the point of producing a faster rate of development than either would indicate if considered in isolation.

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