Over the last several days, we have examined the charge of hype leveled at certain individuals and groups commenting on nanotechnology, including CRN.
We have seen that there are many different sources and kinds of hyperbole:
* Fantasy fiction (eg, Michael Crichton's Prey)
* Government program promoters
* Stock market analyst pitches
* Helpful nanobots for everyone!
* Gray goo fear mongering
We posted a number of excerpts from speeches made during the last two years by U.S. Under Secretary of Commerce Philip J. Bond. We saw that almost everything he said was similar in meaning to CRN's basic message:
1. Nanotechnology is coming
2. It will bring huge potential benefits and serious risks
3. Preparation is urgent and should not be delayed
We recounted CRN's extensive and ongoing efforts to separate science fact from science fiction. We noted that broad, vague, and misleading definitions of nanotechnology are not only confusing, but also downright dangerous.
So, where does all this leave us? What is CRN saying?
First - Stop calling names. We have too little time and too much to do. Those who hope to light the way toward a better future look ridiculous when they squabble over who gets to hold the flashlight.
Second - Admit that there two kinds of nanotechnology. There is one kind that almost everyone is working on now, and that the NNI is funding exclusively; and there is advanced nanotechnology, usually referred to here as molecular manufacturing.
Third - Stop pretending that significant disruption is not a real risk. Public servants, scientists, and educators who speak only of benefits are doing themselves and the public a serious disservice.
Fourth - Support intensive studies of molecular manufacturing. That's what the public expects, that's what the public wants, and that's where the greatest gains are to be found (along with the highest risks).
Fifth - Agree that what must be done will be done. It is not hype to say that advanced nanotechnology will radically change the world, for better or for worse. This is no time for equivocation, corner-cutting, or placing profit ahead of responsibility. The stakes are simply too high.
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Thanks for bearing with us these last few days as we laid out the argument summarized nicely by CRN's Director of Research, Chris Phoenix:
Molecular manufacturing studies have often been accused of excessive hype. Meanwhile, other nanotech boosters, while denying MM, have touted positive consequences so extreme that some of them can only be achieved through MM. That's inconsistent.Worse, by talking about the positive consequences without any acknowledgement of the source (MM), or any acknowledgement of possible negative consequences of MM (of which there are many), they are short-circuiting much-needed policy discussion.
Is there a reference or some evidence that backs up your claim that "intensive studies of molecular manufacturing" is what the public expects and wants?
Posted by: Kevin McCarrell | June 21, 2005 at 12:48 PM
Dear CRNano,
I would like to see intensive studies of molecular manufacturing performed.
Thx from: a member of the public.
Posted by: cdnprodigy | June 21, 2005 at 01:45 PM
Kevin, here's some info in that direction...
http://crnano.typepad.com/crnblog/2004/07/cant_fool_the_p.html
http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2005/04/nanobots-possible-only-when-convenient.html
Posted by: Mike Treder, CRN | June 21, 2005 at 01:55 PM
I get it now:
"Who has the hype... the non-MM or the MM-crew?"
:)
Posted by: Jay | June 21, 2005 at 01:59 PM
I don't see how the Cobb/Macoubrie study backs up your claim. Their telephone survey found that 80% of Americans had heard little to nothing about nanotechnology. How does this show that the public expects and wants "intensive studies of molecular manufacturing"? I concede the point that most mentioned "new ways to detect and treat human diseases" as the most important potential benefit of nanotechnology, something which could likely involve molecular nanotechnology (although nano-based drug delivery is not really considered MNT, and it is a new way to treat human diseases). However, when 80% have heard little to nothing about nano, the study hardly shows that the public expects or wants anything from nanotechnology.
Also, as much as I like Howard Lovy's blog, a comment by him saying that the government has sold the public nanobots, but is giving them stain-resistant pants, is not quite the scientific evidence I was looking for.
Posted by: Kevin McCarrell | June 22, 2005 at 09:22 AM